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AI will spread to smartphones, robots, and wearables after 2028.

Google 우선 소스Published2026.02.23 15:18

Lee Se-cheol, Executive Director of Citigroup
Evolution of Custom Memory Products, Changes in Value Assessment Methods and Industry Structure
Post-processing technologies, such as hybrid bonding, are rapidly emerging as key competitive advantages.

With the advent of the artificial intelligence (AI) era, structural changes in the global semiconductor industry are accelerating.

At the Semicon Korea 2026 press conference held on February 11, Citigroup Managing Director Lee Se-cheol presented the "Semiconductor Market Outlook" and diagnosed that AI has become a key growth engine in the semiconductor market.

The executive director explained, “After PCs, the internet, and mobile devices, AI is now leading a new super cycle,” tracing the historical flow of the semiconductor industry.

The analysis is that while demand for semiconductors has steadily increased in the past era of PCs, the Internet, and mobile devices, the memory and computing structures themselves are fundamentally changing as parallel computing and large-scale data processing become essential in the AI era.

A particularly notable change is the reduction in the physical distance between memory and logic.

In the existing von Neumann architecture, the CPU and memory were separated to perform sequential operations, but in the AI environment, the GPU/TPU and memory are closely coupled to perform parallel operations, which is changing.

This has led to a surge in demand for HBM (High Bandwidth Memory).And, investment in AI infrastructure centered on servers is driving the memory market.

Citing the example of Nvidia's 'KV Cache (Key-Value Cache)' announced at CES, the executive explained that technology for improving AI model efficiency is actually explosively increasing memory demand.

KV cache is a technology to improve computational efficiency, but as large-scale AI models spread, memory usage is expanding beyond HBM to DDR, SSD, and even storage areas.

Amidst this trend, the semiconductor market is undergoing a computing paradigm shift that repeats 'concentration and dispersion.'

Computing, which has moved from mainframes to PCs and then to servers, is currently focused on AI servers, but in the medium to long term, it is expected to expand to edge devices such as on-device AI, physical AI, and personal AI.

“Once server-centric AI innovation reaches a certain level, AI will spread to smartphones, robots, and wearables after 2028,” the executive predicted.

In terms of technology, the importance of post-processing as well as pre-processing is being greatly emphasized.

High-value-added memory such as HBM is facing increasing costs due to increasing die sizes, and hybrid bonding, precision alignment, plasma activation, and inspection/measurement technologies are emerging as key competitive advantages to address this.

The explanation is that the boundaries between pre-process and post-process are collapsing, and an era has arrived in which collaboration between the two processes is essential.

“With the spread of AI, memory is no longer a simple commodity, but is evolving into a semi-custom product designed for specific purposes,” said Executive Director Lee.He emphasized, “The valuation method and industrial structure of the memory market will also change.”

The semiconductor paradigm shift triggered by AI is presenting both new opportunities and challenges to the Korean semiconductor industry. Technological innovation and strategic responses across the entire ecosystem to prepare for the AI era are more crucial than ever.
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