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Gartner, "30% of AI-Displaced Workforce to Be Rehired by 2029"

Google 우선 소스Published2026.10.01 09:06


 
Early AI Investment Enters 'Trough of Disillusionment,' Urgent Need for AI-Ready Talent Development and Work Context Preservation
 
As workforce reductions accelerate due to AI adoption, analysis shows that companies focused on short-term cost savings may actually lose competitiveness. Gartner sees organizational transformation that leverages AI as a work partner rather than a workforce replacement tool as determining long-term competitive advantage.
 
Gartner announced the "2026 Future of Work Environment Hype Cycle" on the 1st, presenting four key changes that CIOs and business executives should focus on as AI rapidly expands the speed and scope of work.

Gartner forecasts that by 2029, 30% of employees displaced by AI will be rehired.

The company added that most rehiring is expected to incur significantly higher costs than before.
 
Tory Pollman, VP Analyst at Gartner, stated, "Executives primarily using AI as a cost reduction tool risk implementing excessive workforce reductions at too early a stage, which can impair the capabilities needed to compete in new markets."

With global workforce growth slowing worldwide and talent competition intensifying, hiring, training, and onboarding costs are also expected to rise.
 
Gartner's proposed changes include: △capability enhancement through human-AI collaboration △cultivation of 'AI-ready' talent △preservation of work context and human judgment △establishment of AI value accumulation foundation.

Regarding human-AI collaboration, technologies such as employee AI avatars, digital coaching applications, employee digital twins, and emotion AI were cited as supporting mechanisms.

Regarding AI-ready talent development, Gartner explained that investment is necessary in AI literacy, AI-based competency management, and work process analysis capabilities.

Regarding work context preservation, Gartner noted that as AI is applied to more processes, the risk of losing accumulated organizational knowledge and human judgment increases.

Conversational user interfaces and decision intelligence platforms were presented as related technologies.

Gartner forecasts that by 2027, 75% of companies that initially use AI-driven productivity improvements only for cost reduction will be overtaken by competitors reinvesting in innovation and employee capability enhancement.
 
Analyst Pollman stated, "At the point where early AI investment enters the 'Trough of Disillusionment,' the critical task is not the technology itself, but enhancing human intelligence and creativity through AI."

Gartner emphasizes that companies must establish a 'talent remix' strategy that transitions low-productivity employees into new roles.
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