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[Planning] Biden's Visit to Korea: Heightened China Risk vs. K-Semiconductor Leap

Google 우선 소스Published2022.05.24 12:30
China's outrage over South Korea-US semiconductor alliance sparks concerns of economic retaliation.
Samsung's next move is drawing attention as the semiconductor industry takes a leap forward.


▲U.S. President Joe Biden and President Yoon Seok-yeol visit Samsung Electronics' Pyeongtaek campus (Photo: Office of the 20th President)
US President Joe Biden's first stop during his visit to South Korea was the Samsung Semiconductor plant in Pyeongtaek. This was a symbolic demonstration of the rising international standing of the Korean semiconductor industry. With the growing importance of technological and economic security in national security, attention is growing on how the Korean semiconductor industry, a key player in US friend-shoring, will change following his visit.

A look at President Biden's speech during his recent visit to Korea reveals that "economic security" and "strengthening alliances" were key agenda items. In his speech at Samsung's Pyeongtaek campus, President Biden noted that the Russia-Ukraine conflict has highlighted the importance of supply chains, stating, "We must ensure that our economy and national security are not dependent on countries that do not share our values."

While emphasizing economic security, the wording "countries that do not share our values" is interpreted as an attempt to check not only Russia but also China. The strengthening of the Korea-U.S. semiconductor alliance is expected to have both positive and negative effects on the domestic semiconductor industry, including Samsung.

China's outrage over Korea-US semiconductor alliance

▲21st Korea-US Summit (Photo - Office of the 20th President)
On the 21st, President Biden emphasized in his opening remarks at the joint press conference following the South Korea-U.S. summit that “the U.S. economy will grow faster than China’s,” and that “the world’s best semiconductors are being developed through innovation in Korea and the U.S.”

While South Korea's diplomatic strategy has traditionally been a tightrope walk, with the United States as the security partner and China as the economic partner, there is analysis that this visit to South Korea has shifted the focus to strengthening not only military alliances but also economic and technological alliances. The Yoon administration has expressed its intention to participate in the Indo- Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF) and to pursue the establishment of a joint strategy, and has been drawing a line with China by showing a positive attitude toward participation in the Quad in its election pledges and explanatory materials for the recent South Korea-U.S. summit.

Meanwhile, the Global Times, the English edition of China's state-run media outlet Global Times, cited experts as saying, "Such an agreement (made at the South Korea-U.S. summit) could upset the complex and delicate balance in the region and result in disastrous aftereffects that South Korea cannot afford," and "America's anti-China 'Indo-Pacific strategy' has hurt the feelings of its top trading partner."

Some are concerned that if Korea stands at the forefront of the US-China hegemony war, it will face economic retaliation from China, but there are also opinions that it is proceeding as expected.

▲ Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi delivers a speech at the opening ceremony of the 78th session of the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific on the 23rd (Photo: Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs)
On the 22nd, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said about the US-led IPEF &lHe emphasized, "We must not harm the stability of the industrial network." While he made a series of statements opposing the IPEF, which aims to encircle China, he did not directly mention South Korea, focusing on and strongly criticizing the US diplomatic strategy of using South Korea to contain China.

China would be severely impacted if excluded from the semiconductor supply chain. China's current semiconductor technology remains at the 14nm level, estimated to be three to four generations behind advanced processes. Its semiconductor self-sufficiency rate is also low. Therefore, Korea is not being criticized harshly, but rather indirectly pressured, because it is a weak link in the Korea-US-Japan-Taiwan chip alliance.

According to the Korea International Trade Association (KITA), South Korea's exports to China last year amounted to $162.9 billion, accounting for 25% of total exports. Semiconductors accounted for approximately 30% of this, worth $50.2 billion. Notably, 39.3% of semiconductor exports are destined for China, indicating a high dependence on semiconductor exports to China. Moreover, according to the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), China accounts for 24% of global semiconductor consumption, right behind the United States at 25%.

Samsung Electronics operates semiconductor production plants in Xi'an and Wuxi, China, and SK Hynix is investing an additional 2 trillion won in its DRAM plant in Wuxi over the next three years, so it is not entirely happy about the strengthening of its coupling with the United States.

Kim Yang-paeng, a senior researcher at the Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade, said in an interview with e4ds, “Amidst the reorganization of the global supply chain, competition is intensifying as each country announces support policies,” and “Korea has maintained neutrality, but this visit to Korea is a starting point for the government to announce its intention to strengthen its coupling with the United States.”

Regarding concerns about economic retaliation from China, Researcher Kim stated, “China has limited room to take action in the semiconductor sector due to its low self-sufficiency rate and technological maturity,” and made a cautious prediction, saying, “There is also the possibility of economic measures in other sectors.” He said, “(When considering profit and loss) China is the largest consumer market in the semiconductor sector, but the introduction of advanced equipment and technological development are more important, so joining hands with the United States will be more beneficial compared to the damage from retaliation from China.”

Opportunity for K-Semiconductor Leap Forward: Samsung "Just Keeps Going"

▲The two leaders' signatures on a 3-nanometer semiconductor wafer (Photo: Office of the 20th President)
During his visit to Korea, President Biden secured Korea's participation in the International Partnership for Economic Cooperation and Development (IPEF), a key initiative to contain China. This achievement effectively killed two birds with one stone: strengthening the semiconductor supply chain and increasing domestic investment. Some speculate that this strengthened semiconductor alliance could offer Samsung Electronics a golden opportunity to advance the semiconductor industry in the United States.

President Biden visited Samsung Electronics' Pyeongtaek Semiconductor Campus and signed a 3-nanometer semiconductor wafer alongside President Yoon Seok-yeol. In his speech, he stated, "I've seen how the world's most advanced semiconductors are made at this factory. Samsung is one of three leading manufacturers of cutting-edge semiconductors worldwide."

During this visit to Korea, Samsung showcased a prototype of a 3nm semiconductor based on the latest technology, Gate-All-Around (GAA), and achieved maximum advertising effect by imprinting the signatures of the South Korean and US leaders on the wafer. Furthermore, some predict that Samsung's share will increase as the semiconductor supply chain shifts away from being heavily reliant on TSMC, reflecting the traditional U.S. policy of not putting all of its eggs in one basket.

This visit to Samsung's semiconductor plant is drawing attention because Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon accompanied President Biden. Qualcomm, a smartphone AP design company and a major Samsung Foundry customer, is accompanying President Biden, raising expectations that Samsung's 3nm process will be entrusted with mass production of Qualcomm's next 3nm AP.

However, Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon, who was included on the list of visiting officials and accompanied US President Joe Biden, reportedly did not visit the Samsung plant in Pyeongtaek. While he attended the Korea-US Business Roundtable on the 21st and sat down with Samsung Vice Chairman Lee Jae-yong, it appears he was unable to engage in in-depth discussions.

Meanwhile, Samsung is drawing keen attention to when its groundbreaking ceremony for a large-scale foundry will take place in Taylor, Texas. Last year, Samsung announced plans to invest $17 billion to build a new foundry, and the company has reportedly been actively selecting a site. Rumors are also circulating that the company is preparing a large-scale event to build on the heightened excitement surrounding its upcoming visit to Korea.

An industry insider drew a line, saying, “Samsung has been continuously investing in semiconductors in the U.S. for a long time, and this visit by the U.S. president does not represent a new expansion.” It is also reported that there are no concrete plans yet regarding the expansion of the Austin fab, which is currently floating around.

Meanwhile, the 2022 e4ds Semiconductor Trend Day , hosted by Channel 5 Korea, will be held at COEX on the 10th. In addition to sessions covering the latest trends in GaN, SiC, and automotive semiconductors, a special offline session featuring Professor Hwang Cheol-seong of Seoul National University's Distinguished Professorship on "Next-Generation Memory Development Direction and Material Trends - 3D Stacked DRAM Technology" will be held.

More details can be found on the e4ds news homepage .
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17 Comments:

  1. eunchul Lee

    조 바이든의 방한을 통해 ‘경제안보’와 ‘동맹국 결집 강화’를 꾀하고 더불어 우리 반도체 산업의 영역 자주성을 확보하는 계기가 되었기를 바랍니다.

  2. 한종훈

    한국의 미래를 위해 중요하다고 생각합니다

  3. 김빈

    중국도 빼놓을 수 없는 우리의 시장 입니다. 미국과 큰딜을 멋있게하되 중국도 소외감을 느끼지 않도록 국가적으로 여러면의 세심한 배려가 필요할것으로 봅니다.

  4. 서경훈

    바이든 대통령의 삼성 방문을 통해 삼성의 기술력은 물론 다른 기업들의 기술력이 더욱 더 세계에서 위상을 떨치고 대한민국을 알리는 계기가 되었으면 합니다.

  5. 허은영

    바이든의 방한과 삼성 방문으로 한미관계가 더 공고해지고 반도체 산업이 세계적인 위상을 펼치고 더욱더 발전하길 바래봅니다~

  6. 강근호

    바이든의 삼성 방문으로 인해 삼성반도체의 세계적인 위상을 다시 한 번 확인할 수 있었던 것 같습니다.

  7. 박찬우

    이번 바이든 대통령 방한으로 한미관계가 더 공고해지고 반도체 산업이 발전하길 기대합니다

  8. 임지현

    한국은 미국의 주요 반도체 공급처이자 파트너로 이번 바이든 방문은 한미의 반도체 동반자 관계를 공고히 하기 위한 좋은 행보라고 생각되며 앞으로의 시너지 효과를 기대해 볼만하다고 생각됩니다.

  9. 태희

    삼성 3나노 엄청 대단합니다. 반도체 선두 주자로 기대됩니다

  10. 김선재

    삼성 3나노 엄청 대단하네요 반도체 선두 주자로 발전하는 미래 보고 싶습니다

  11. Youl79

    기사 잘 봤습니다.

  12. 초보태공

    바이든 방한으로 많이 내주고 적게 받은 느낌이네요.. 대다수가 그렇게 보는데.. 그 와중에도 멀리 보고 실행해야 할 것 같네요..

  13. 삐에로

    기사 잘 봤습니다. 메모리 뿐만 아니라 비메모리 분야에서도 세계 최고가 되는 날이 오면 좋겠네요.

  14. 김현민

    삼성 3나노 엄청 대단합니다. 반도체 선두 주자로 항상 발전하는 모습 보고 싶습니다

  15. 김종용

    메모리반도체는 신규라인 투자하는데 조단위는 벌써 넘었을 것이고 비메모리 경쟁력을 키우는 것은 삼성이나 SK하이닉스만으로는 안된다.다양한 종류의 아나로그 반도체들은 미국,일본,독일 등의 중견기업들이 많다.대한민국도 한 분야에 누적된 기술을 집중적으로 개발하고 발전시키고 탄탄한 중소기업들이 많아야 가능하다.결국 대기업과 중소기업의 효율적인 상호협업이 있어야 한다.

  16. 김은경

    Ipef, bcg약자에 대한 부연설명 좀 넣어주세요. Coex는 ()해주셨는데 저 용어는 없어요

  17. 이포듸

    좋은 기사 잘 봤습니다.. 학창 시절 어깨 넓은 친구들 사이에서 갈피를 못 잡는 작은 친구의 모습이 상상되네요..^^ '우리와 가치를 공유하지 않는 국가'라고 대놓고 말하는 부분은 바이든 대통령의 확고한 생각이 엿보인 연설이었다고 생각됩니다. 그래도 경제적 동맹을 제안(강요?)하고 국가적 안보를 약속하는 걸 봐서는 역시 미국 주식이 답이 아닐까 생각이 듭니다.